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195 Main Street, Maynard, MA 01754

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> Conservation Division

The Conservation Commission and Conservation Division’s Missionis to work to protect the natural resources of Maynard, the gems of green space that we too often take for granted, until they are threatened by development.

The reason for the Commission’s existence: Open space pays

The reason for the Commission’s existence:

Who is on the Conservation Commission: Dedicated volunteers

Who is on the Conservation Commission:

There are other many ways you can volunteer to help. Look at these volunteer opportunities.

The Commission meets the second Tuesday of every month starting at 6:30 pm.Please call the office for information about our agenda.

View the 2017/2018 Hearing Schedule and Filing Deadlines

Applications for Notice of Intents, (NOIs) ANRADs and RDAs are due three weeks or more prior to a regularly scheduled meeting, based on Agenda availability.

Please file applications in the Conservation Office according to the following timelines.

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12:00 pm 10 days

For information about the Assabet River Rail Trail Project, including design specifications in Maynard, please Athena alexanderWomens Gaylenn Open Toe Casual Slide Sandals Black Size 55 US/35 UK US moTENTC9Vc

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(food, dumpster, etc) are now processed online.

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for more information.

A Mandatory Outdoor Water Restriction is in effect in Maynard starting June 11, 2018. Learn more about water restrictions.
The Council on Aging has numerous activities and lots of great information for our senior citizens. Asics Men’s GelKayano Trainer Evo LowTop Sneakers Grey Glacier Grey/Glacier Grey 9696 Sl6sKR9Ue
During an emergency the Maynard Blackboard sends email/text updates from Town Hall to you. Learn more about this service.
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(food, dumpster, etc) are now processed online.

Visit the Public Health Division for more information.


Learn more about and participate in Maynard’s Master Plan for the future…

Jul 10

Statistical significance is the probability of finding a given deviation from the null hypothesis -or a more extreme one- in a sample. Statistical significance is often referred to as the p-value (short for “probability value”) or simply p in research papers. A small p-value basically means that your data are unlikely under some AARZ LONDON Women Ladies Open Toe Casual Comfort Medium Wedge Heel Lightweight Flat Slipon Sandal Shoes Size Beige fO3pT
. A somewhat arbitrary convention is to reject the null hypothesis if p < 0.05 .

p-value reject the null hypothesis if p < 0.05

Example 1 - 10 Coin Flips

I've a coin and my null hypothesis is that it's balanced - which means it has a 0.5 chance of landing heads up. I flip my coin 10 times, which may result in 0 through 10 heads landing up. The probabilities for these outcomes -assuming my coin is really balanced- are shown below. * Technically, this is a binomial distribution . The formula for computing these probabilities is based on mathematics and the (very general) assumption of independent and identically distributed variables . Keep in mind that probabilities are relative frequencies. So the 0.24 probability of finding 5 heads means that if I'd draw a 1,000 samples of 10 coin flips, some 24% of those samples should result in 5 heads up.

Now, 9 of my 10 coin flips actually land heads up. The previous figure says that the probability of finding 9 or more heads in a sample of 10 coin flips, p = 0.01 . If my coin is really balanced, the probability is only 1 in 100 of finding what I just found. So, based on my sample of N = 10 coin flips, I reject the null hypothesis : I no longer believe that my coin was balanced after all.

p = 0.01 reject the null hypothesis

A sample of 360 people took a grammar test. We'd like to know if male respondents score differently than female respondents. Our null hypothesis is that on average, male respondents score the same number of points as female respondents. The table below summarizes the means and Annie Womens Sunny Sunny Bright Multi kVVi5EExh0
for this sample.

Note that females scored 3.5 points higher than males in this sample. However, samples typically differ somewhat from populations. The question is: if the mean scores for all males and all females are equal, then what's the probability of finding this mean difference or a more extreme one in a sample of N = 360? This question is answered by running an Tamaris Women’s 25701 Combat Boots Black 8cTvQDbw

what's the probability of finding this mean difference

So what sample mean differences can we reasonably expect? Well, this depends on

standard deviations sample sizes

We therefore Minitoo QJ9005 Womens LaceUp Net Modern Salsa Tango Ballroom Latin Wedding Party Evening Dance Shoes Navy blue 9jRiQ
our mean difference of 3.5 points, resulting in t = -2.2 So this t-value -our test statistic- is simply the sample mean difference corrected for sample sizes and standard deviations. Interestingly, we know the Aisun Womens Casual Slip On Low Top Hidden Heels Sneakers Beige KmXNjVp
-and hence the probability- for t.

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Mathematics is known for its resolute commitment to precision in definitions and statements. However, when words are pulled from the English language and given rigid mathematical definitions, the connotations and colloquial use outside of mathematics still remain. This can lead to immutable mathematical termsbeing used interchangeably, even though the mathematical definitions are not equivalent. This occurs frequently in probability and statistics, particularly with the notion of uncorrelated and independent . We will focus this post on the exact meaning of both of these words, and how they are related but not equivalent.

First, we will give the formal definition of independence:

Definition ( Independence of Random Variables) .

Two random variables X X X and Y Y Y are independent if the joint probability distribution P ( X , Y ) P(X, Y) P ( X , Y ) can be written as the product of the two individual distributions. That is,

Essentially this means that the joint probability of the random variables X X X and Y Y Y together are actually separable into the product of their individual probabilities. Here are some other equivalent definitions:

This first alternative definition states that the probability of any outcome of X X X and any outcome of Y Y Y occurring simultaneously is the product of those individual probabilities.

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